Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Miami Marlins @ New York Mets
2026-05-29 · Citi Field
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Miami Marlins at New York Mets at Citi Field on 2026-05-29. Predicted final score: Miami Marlins 3.62, New York Mets 3.03. Model win probability: New York Mets 43%, Miami Marlins 57%. Projected total runs: 6.65.
Miami Marlins
3.6
Predicted runs
57% to win
New York Mets
3.0
Predicted runs
43% to win
Projected total: 6.7 runs
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Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.