Mongoose Bets logo - Advanced Sports Analytics and Betting Intelligence platform
Mongoose Bets

Odds updated 11:58 PM ET

Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB + NFL + CFB + WNBA + PGA Analytics

Miami Marlins @ New York Mets

2026-05-30

Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Miami Marlins at New York Mets on 2026-05-30. Predicted final score: Miami Marlins 4.12, New York Mets 3.03. Model win probability: New York Mets 41%, Miami Marlins 59%. Projected total runs: 7.15.

Miami Marlins
4.1
Predicted runs
59% to win
New York Mets
3.0
Predicted runs
41% to win
Projected total: 7.2 runs

Tonight's Edges

Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.