Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Miami Marlins @ New York Mets
2026-05-31 · Citi Field
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Miami Marlins at New York Mets at Citi Field on 2026-05-31. Predicted final score: Miami Marlins 3.66, New York Mets 4.5. Model win probability: New York Mets 60%, Miami Marlins 40%. Projected total runs: 8.15.
Miami Marlins
3.7
Predicted runs
40% to win
New York Mets
4.5
Predicted runs
60% to win
Projected total: 8.2 runs
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Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.