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Miami Marlins @ New York Mets

2026-07-31

Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Miami Marlins at New York Mets on 2026-07-31. Predicted final score: Miami Marlins 4.67, New York Mets 3.81. Model win probability: New York Mets 41%, Miami Marlins 59%. Projected total runs: 8.48.

Miami Marlins
4.7
Predicted runs
59% to win
New York Mets
3.8
Predicted runs
41% to win
Projected total: 8.5 runs

Tonight's Edges

Best Moneyline Value
New York Mets -120
+6.4% edge
Total Edge
Over 8.0
+4.1% edge

Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.

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