Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Miami Marlins @ New York Mets
2026-08-01 · Citi Field
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Miami Marlins at New York Mets at Citi Field on 2026-08-01. Predicted final score: Miami Marlins 4.58, New York Mets 4.66. Model win probability: New York Mets 51%, Miami Marlins 49%. Projected total runs: 9.24.
Miami Marlins
4.6
Predicted runs
49% to win
New York Mets
4.7
Predicted runs
51% to win
Projected total: 9.2 runs
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