Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Miami Marlins @ Philadelphia Phillies
2026-06-15 · 06:40 PM ET · Citizens Bank Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Miami Marlins at Philadelphia Phillies at Citizens Bank Park on 2026-06-15. Predicted final score: Miami Marlins 4.62, Philadelphia Phillies 4.34. Model win probability: Philadelphia Phillies 49%, Miami Marlins 51%. Projected total runs: 8.96.
Miami Marlins
4.6
Predicted runs
51% to win
Philadelphia Phillies
4.3
Predicted runs
49% to win
Projected total: 9.0 runs
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Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.