Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Miami Marlins @ Philadelphia Phillies
2026-06-16 · 06:40 PM ET · Citizens Bank Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Miami Marlins at Philadelphia Phillies at Citizens Bank Park on 2026-06-16. Predicted final score: Miami Marlins 4.66, Philadelphia Phillies 4.84. Model win probability: Philadelphia Phillies 53%, Miami Marlins 47%. Projected total runs: 9.5.
Miami Marlins
4.7
Predicted runs
47% to win
Philadelphia Phillies
4.8
Predicted runs
53% to win
Projected total: 9.5 runs
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Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.