Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Miami Marlins @ Philadelphia Phillies
2026-06-17 · Citizens Bank Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Miami Marlins at Philadelphia Phillies at Citizens Bank Park on 2026-06-17. Predicted final score: Miami Marlins 4.74, Philadelphia Phillies 4.68. Model win probability: Philadelphia Phillies 52%, Miami Marlins 48%. Projected total runs: 9.41.
Miami Marlins
4.7
Predicted runs
48% to win
Philadelphia Phillies
4.7
Predicted runs
52% to win
Projected total: 9.4 runs
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Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.