Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Miami Marlins @ Philadelphia Phillies
2026-08-19 · Citizens Bank Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Miami Marlins at Philadelphia Phillies at Citizens Bank Park on 2026-08-19. Predicted final score: Miami Marlins 5.2, Philadelphia Phillies 5.43. Model win probability: Philadelphia Phillies 54%, Miami Marlins 46%. Projected total runs: 10.63.
Miami Marlins
5.2
Predicted runs
46% to win
Philadelphia Phillies
5.4
Predicted runs
54% to win
Projected total: 10.6 runs
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Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.