Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Miami Marlins @ Pittsburgh Pirates
2026-06-12 · 06:40 PM ET · PNC Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Miami Marlins at Pittsburgh Pirates at PNC Park on 2026-06-12. Predicted final score: Miami Marlins 3.56, Pittsburgh Pirates 4.03. Model win probability: Pittsburgh Pirates 55%, Miami Marlins 45%. Projected total runs: 7.59.
Miami Marlins
3.6
Predicted runs
45% to win
Pittsburgh Pirates
4.0
Predicted runs
55% to win
Projected total: 7.6 runs
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Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.