Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Miami Marlins @ Pittsburgh Pirates
2026-06-13 · PNC Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Miami Marlins at Pittsburgh Pirates at PNC Park on 2026-06-13. Predicted final score: Miami Marlins 3.71, Pittsburgh Pirates 3.11. Model win probability: Pittsburgh Pirates 44%, Miami Marlins 56%. Projected total runs: 6.81.
Miami Marlins
3.7
Predicted runs
56% to win
Pittsburgh Pirates
3.1
Predicted runs
44% to win
Projected total: 6.8 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.