Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Miami Marlins @ Pittsburgh Pirates
2026-06-14 · 12:15 PM ET · PNC Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Miami Marlins at Pittsburgh Pirates at PNC Park on 2026-06-14. Predicted final score: Miami Marlins 3.63, Pittsburgh Pirates 4.4. Model win probability: Pittsburgh Pirates 57%, Miami Marlins 43%. Projected total runs: 8.04.
Miami Marlins
3.6
Predicted runs
43% to win
Pittsburgh Pirates
4.4
Predicted runs
57% to win
Projected total: 8.0 runs
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Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.