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Miami Marlins @ Tampa Bay Rays

2026-05-17

Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Miami Marlins at Tampa Bay Rays on 2026-05-17. Predicted final score: Miami Marlins 4.4, Tampa Bay Rays 2.58. Model win probability: Tampa Bay Rays 31%, Miami Marlins 69%. Projected total runs: 6.98.

Miami Marlins

4.4

Predicted runs

69% to win

Tampa Bay Rays

2.6

Predicted runs

31% to win

Projected total: 7.0 runs

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