Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Miami Marlins @ Minnesota Twins
2026-05-12 · Target Field
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Miami Marlins at Minnesota Twins at Target Field on 2026-05-12. Predicted final score: Miami Marlins 3.51, Minnesota Twins 3.42. Model win probability: Minnesota Twins 49%, Miami Marlins 51%. Projected total runs: 6.92.
Miami Marlins
3.5
Predicted runs
51% to win
Minnesota Twins
3.4
Predicted runs
49% to win
Projected total: 6.9 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.