Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Miami Marlins @ Minnesota Twins
2026-05-13 · Target Field
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Miami Marlins at Minnesota Twins at Target Field on 2026-05-13. Predicted final score: Miami Marlins 4.14, Minnesota Twins 2.83. Model win probability: Minnesota Twins 33%, Miami Marlins 67%. Projected total runs: 6.97.
Miami Marlins
4.1
Predicted runs
67% to win
Minnesota Twins
2.8
Predicted runs
33% to win
Projected total: 7.0 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.