Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
New York Mets @ Los Angeles Angels
2026-05-03 · Angel Stadium
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for New York Mets at Los Angeles Angels at Angel Stadium on 2026-05-03. Predicted final score: New York Mets 6.67, Los Angeles Angels 6.28. Model win probability: Los Angeles Angels 49%, New York Mets 51%. Projected total runs: 12.96.
New York Mets
6.7
Predicted runs
51% to win
Los Angeles Angels
6.3
Predicted runs
49% to win
Projected total: 13.0 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.