Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
New York Mets @ Toronto Blue Jays
2026-06-29 · Rogers Centre
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for New York Mets at Toronto Blue Jays at Rogers Centre on 2026-06-29. Predicted final score: New York Mets 3.79, Toronto Blue Jays 3.47. Model win probability: Toronto Blue Jays 46%, New York Mets 54%. Projected total runs: 7.26.
New York Mets
3.8
Predicted runs
54% to win
Toronto Blue Jays
3.5
Predicted runs
46% to win
Projected total: 7.3 runs
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Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.