Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
New York Mets @ Toronto Blue Jays
2026-06-30 · Rogers Centre
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for New York Mets at Toronto Blue Jays at Rogers Centre on 2026-06-30. Predicted final score: New York Mets 4.04, Toronto Blue Jays 3.1. Model win probability: Toronto Blue Jays 39%, New York Mets 61%. Projected total runs: 7.14.
New York Mets
4.0
Predicted runs
61% to win
Toronto Blue Jays
3.1
Predicted runs
39% to win
Projected total: 7.1 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.
