Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
New York Mets @ Toronto Blue Jays
2026-07-01 · Rogers Centre
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for New York Mets at Toronto Blue Jays at Rogers Centre on 2026-07-01. Predicted final score: New York Mets 3.86, Toronto Blue Jays 3.22. Model win probability: Toronto Blue Jays 43%, New York Mets 57%. Projected total runs: 7.08.
New York Mets
3.9
Predicted runs
57% to win
Toronto Blue Jays
3.2
Predicted runs
43% to win
Projected total: 7.1 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.
