Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
New York Mets @ Atlanta Braves
2026-07-03 · Truist Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for New York Mets at Atlanta Braves at Truist Park on 2026-07-03. Predicted final score: New York Mets 4.04, Atlanta Braves 3.72. Model win probability: Atlanta Braves 47%, New York Mets 53%. Projected total runs: 7.76.
New York Mets
4.0
Predicted runs
53% to win
Atlanta Braves
3.7
Predicted runs
47% to win
Projected total: 7.8 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.
