Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
New York Mets @ Atlanta Braves
2026-08-11 · Truist Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for New York Mets at Atlanta Braves at Truist Park on 2026-08-11. Predicted final score: New York Mets 4.71, Atlanta Braves 4.48. Model win probability: Atlanta Braves 47%, New York Mets 53%. Projected total runs: 9.19.
New York Mets
4.7
Predicted runs
53% to win
Atlanta Braves
4.5
Predicted runs
47% to win
Projected total: 9.2 runs
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Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.