Mongoose Bets logo - Advanced Sports Analytics and Betting Intelligence platform
Mongoose Bets

Odds updated 11:58 PM ET

Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB + NFL + CFB + WNBA + PGA Analytics

New York Mets @ Milwaukee Brewers

2026-07-21

Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for New York Mets at Milwaukee Brewers on 2026-07-21. Predicted final score: New York Mets 3.86, Milwaukee Brewers 3.75. Model win probability: Milwaukee Brewers 51%, New York Mets 49%. Projected total runs: 7.61.

New York Mets
3.9
Predicted runs
49% to win
Milwaukee Brewers
3.8
Predicted runs
51% to win
Projected total: 7.6 runs

Tonight's Edges

Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.