Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
New York Mets @ Milwaukee Brewers
2026-07-22 · American Family Field
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for New York Mets at Milwaukee Brewers at American Family Field on 2026-07-22. Predicted final score: New York Mets 3.64, Milwaukee Brewers 3.97. Model win probability: Milwaukee Brewers 54%, New York Mets 46%. Projected total runs: 7.61.
New York Mets
3.6
Predicted runs
46% to win
Milwaukee Brewers
4.0
Predicted runs
54% to win
Projected total: 7.6 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.