Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
New York Mets @ Arizona Diamondbacks
2026-05-08 · Chase Field
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for New York Mets at Arizona Diamondbacks at Chase Field on 2026-05-08. Predicted final score: New York Mets 5.12, Arizona Diamondbacks 5.08. Model win probability: Arizona Diamondbacks 49%, New York Mets 51%. Projected total runs: 10.2.
New York Mets
5.1
Predicted runs
51% to win
Arizona Diamondbacks
5.1
Predicted runs
49% to win
Projected total: 10.2 runs
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Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.