Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB + NFL + CFB + WNBA + PGA Analytics
New York Mets @ Arizona Diamondbacks
2026-05-09
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for New York Mets at Arizona Diamondbacks on 2026-05-09. Predicted final score: New York Mets 3.39, Arizona Diamondbacks 4.58. Model win probability: Arizona Diamondbacks 62%, New York Mets 38%. Projected total runs: 7.97.
New York Mets
3.4
Predicted runs
38% to win
Arizona Diamondbacks
4.6
Predicted runs
62% to win
Projected total: 8.0 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.