Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB + NFL + CFB + WNBA + PGA Analytics

MLB / Games

New York Mets @ Cleveland Guardians

2026-08-06

Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for New York Mets at Cleveland Guardians on 2026-08-06. Predicted final score: New York Mets 3.24, Cleveland Guardians 3.45. Model win probability: Cleveland Guardians 53%, New York Mets 47%. Projected total runs: 6.69.

New York Mets
3.2
Predicted runs
47% to win
Cleveland Guardians
3.5
Predicted runs
53% to win
Projected total: 6.7 runs

Tonight's Edges

Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.