Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
New York Mets @ Cleveland Guardians
2026-08-06 · Progressive Field
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for New York Mets at Cleveland Guardians at Progressive Field on 2026-08-06. Predicted final score: New York Mets 4.01, Cleveland Guardians 3.22. Model win probability: Cleveland Guardians 41%, New York Mets 59%. Projected total runs: 7.23.
New York Mets
4.0
Predicted runs
59% to win
Cleveland Guardians
3.2
Predicted runs
41% to win
Projected total: 7.2 runs
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Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.