Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
New York Mets @ Miami Marlins
2026-05-23 · loanDepot park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for New York Mets at Miami Marlins at loanDepot park on 2026-05-23. Predicted final score: New York Mets 4.08, Miami Marlins 3.94. Model win probability: Miami Marlins 49%, New York Mets 51%. Projected total runs: 8.02.
New York Mets
4.1
Predicted runs
51% to win
Miami Marlins
3.9
Predicted runs
49% to win
Projected total: 8.0 runs
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Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.