Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
New York Mets @ Miami Marlins
2026-05-24 · loanDepot park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for New York Mets at Miami Marlins at loanDepot park on 2026-05-24. Predicted final score: New York Mets 3.69, Miami Marlins 4.02. Model win probability: Miami Marlins 55%, New York Mets 45%. Projected total runs: 7.7.
New York Mets
3.7
Predicted runs
45% to win
Miami Marlins
4.0
Predicted runs
55% to win
Projected total: 7.7 runs
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Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.