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New York Mets @ Washington Nationals

2026-05-21 · 04:05 PM ET · Nationals Park

Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for New York Mets at Washington Nationals at Nationals Park on 2026-05-21. Predicted final score: New York Mets 5.72, Washington Nationals 5.34. Model win probability: Washington Nationals 47%, New York Mets 53%. Projected total runs: 11.06.

New York Mets
5.7
Predicted runs
53% to win
Washington Nationals
5.3
Predicted runs
47% to win
Projected total: 11.1 runs

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