Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
New York Mets @ San Diego Padres
2026-06-05 · Petco Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for New York Mets at San Diego Padres at Petco Park on 2026-06-05. Predicted final score: New York Mets 4.38, San Diego Padres 4.11. Model win probability: San Diego Padres 49%, New York Mets 51%. Projected total runs: 8.5.
New York Mets
4.4
Predicted runs
51% to win
San Diego Padres
4.1
Predicted runs
49% to win
Projected total: 8.5 runs
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Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.