Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
New York Mets @ San Diego Padres
2026-06-06 · Petco Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for New York Mets at San Diego Padres at Petco Park on 2026-06-06. Predicted final score: New York Mets 5.04, San Diego Padres 3.48. Model win probability: San Diego Padres 35%, New York Mets 65%. Projected total runs: 8.52.
New York Mets
5.0
Predicted runs
65% to win
San Diego Padres
3.5
Predicted runs
35% to win
Projected total: 8.5 runs
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Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.