Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
New York Mets @ Philadelphia Phillies
2026-06-18 · Citizens Bank Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for New York Mets at Philadelphia Phillies at Citizens Bank Park on 2026-06-18. Predicted final score: New York Mets 5.12, Philadelphia Phillies 4.83. Model win probability: Philadelphia Phillies 47%, New York Mets 53%. Projected total runs: 9.95.
New York Mets
5.1
Predicted runs
53% to win
Philadelphia Phillies
4.8
Predicted runs
47% to win
Projected total: 9.9 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.
