Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB + NFL + CFB + WNBA + PGA Analytics
New York Mets @ Tampa Bay Rays
2026-08-31 · Tropicana Field
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for New York Mets at Tampa Bay Rays at Tropicana Field on 2026-08-31. Predicted final score: New York Mets 4.06, Tampa Bay Rays 4.81. Model win probability: Tampa Bay Rays 58%, New York Mets 42%. Projected total runs: 8.87.
New York Mets
4.1
Predicted runs
42% to win
Tampa Bay Rays
4.8
Predicted runs
58% to win
Projected total: 8.9 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.