Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
New York Mets @ Colorado Rockies
2026-05-04 · 05:40 PM ET · Coors Field
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for New York Mets at Colorado Rockies at Coors Field on 2026-05-04. Predicted final score: New York Mets 5.71, Colorado Rockies 7.23. Model win probability: Colorado Rockies 63%, New York Mets 37%. Projected total runs: 12.93.
New York Mets
5.7
Predicted runs
37% to win
Colorado Rockies
7.2
Predicted runs
63% to win
Projected total: 12.9 runs
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