Mongoose Bets logo - Advanced Sports Analytics and Betting Intelligence platform
Mongoose Bets

Odds updated 1:07 PM ET

Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics

New York Mets @ Chicago White Sox

2026-08-21 · Rate Field

Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for New York Mets at Chicago White Sox at Rate Field on 2026-08-21. Predicted final score: New York Mets 4.32, Chicago White Sox 4.82. Model win probability: Chicago White Sox 55%, New York Mets 45%. Projected total runs: 9.14.

New York Mets
4.3
Predicted runs
45% to win
Chicago White Sox
4.8
Predicted runs
55% to win
Projected total: 9.1 runs

Tonight's Edges

Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.