Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
New York Mets @ Chicago White Sox
2026-08-21 · Rate Field
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for New York Mets at Chicago White Sox at Rate Field on 2026-08-21. Predicted final score: New York Mets 4.32, Chicago White Sox 4.82. Model win probability: Chicago White Sox 55%, New York Mets 45%. Projected total runs: 9.14.
New York Mets
4.3
Predicted runs
45% to win
Chicago White Sox
4.8
Predicted runs
55% to win
Projected total: 9.1 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.
