Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
New York Mets @ Chicago White Sox
2026-08-22 · Rate Field
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for New York Mets at Chicago White Sox at Rate Field on 2026-08-22. Predicted final score: New York Mets 4.75, Chicago White Sox 5.36. Model win probability: Chicago White Sox 57%, New York Mets 43%. Projected total runs: 10.11.
New York Mets
4.8
Predicted runs
43% to win
Chicago White Sox
5.4
Predicted runs
57% to win
Projected total: 10.1 runs
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Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.