Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Washington Nationals @ Atlanta Braves
2026-05-22 · Truist Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Washington Nationals at Atlanta Braves at Truist Park on 2026-05-22. Predicted final score: Washington Nationals 3.16, Atlanta Braves 4.34. Model win probability: Atlanta Braves 63%, Washington Nationals 37%. Projected total runs: 7.5.
Washington Nationals
3.2
Predicted runs
37% to win
Atlanta Braves
4.3
Predicted runs
63% to win
Projected total: 7.5 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.
