Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Washington Nationals @ Arizona Diamondbacks
2026-06-05 · Chase Field
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Washington Nationals at Arizona Diamondbacks at Chase Field on 2026-06-05. Predicted final score: Washington Nationals 4.9, Arizona Diamondbacks 5.04. Model win probability: Arizona Diamondbacks 53%, Washington Nationals 47%. Projected total runs: 9.95.
Washington Nationals
4.9
Predicted runs
47% to win
Arizona Diamondbacks
5.0
Predicted runs
53% to win
Projected total: 9.9 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.
