Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Washington Nationals @ Arizona Diamondbacks
2026-06-06 · Chase Field
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Washington Nationals at Arizona Diamondbacks at Chase Field on 2026-06-06. Predicted final score: Washington Nationals 5.25, Arizona Diamondbacks 4.82. Model win probability: Arizona Diamondbacks 47%, Washington Nationals 53%. Projected total runs: 10.07.
Washington Nationals
5.3
Predicted runs
53% to win
Arizona Diamondbacks
4.8
Predicted runs
47% to win
Projected total: 10.1 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.