Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Washington Nationals @ Arizona Diamondbacks
2026-06-07 · Chase Field
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Washington Nationals at Arizona Diamondbacks at Chase Field on 2026-06-07. Predicted final score: Washington Nationals 5.77, Arizona Diamondbacks 4.48. Model win probability: Arizona Diamondbacks 40%, Washington Nationals 60%. Projected total runs: 10.26.
Washington Nationals
5.8
Predicted runs
60% to win
Arizona Diamondbacks
4.5
Predicted runs
40% to win
Projected total: 10.3 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.