Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Washington Nationals @ Cleveland Guardians
2026-05-25 · 06:10 PM ET · Progressive Field
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Washington Nationals at Cleveland Guardians at Progressive Field on 2026-05-25. Predicted final score: Washington Nationals 3.58, Cleveland Guardians 4.26. Model win probability: Cleveland Guardians 56%, Washington Nationals 44%. Projected total runs: 7.85.
Washington Nationals
3.6
Predicted runs
44% to win
Cleveland Guardians
4.3
Predicted runs
56% to win
Projected total: 7.8 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.