Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Washington Nationals @ Cleveland Guardians
2026-05-26 · 06:10 PM ET · Progressive Field
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Washington Nationals at Cleveland Guardians at Progressive Field on 2026-05-26. Predicted final score: Washington Nationals 4.18, Cleveland Guardians 3.75. Model win probability: Cleveland Guardians 45%, Washington Nationals 55%. Projected total runs: 7.94.
Washington Nationals
4.2
Predicted runs
55% to win
Cleveland Guardians
3.8
Predicted runs
45% to win
Projected total: 7.9 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.