Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Washington Nationals @ Miami Marlins
2026-05-09 · loanDepot park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Washington Nationals at Miami Marlins at loanDepot park on 2026-05-09. Predicted final score: Washington Nationals 4.01, Miami Marlins 4.86. Model win probability: Miami Marlins 60%, Washington Nationals 40%. Projected total runs: 8.87.
Washington Nationals
4.0
Predicted runs
40% to win
Miami Marlins
4.9
Predicted runs
60% to win
Projected total: 8.9 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.
