Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Washington Nationals @ Miami Marlins
2026-05-10 · 12:15 PM ET · loanDepot park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Washington Nationals at Miami Marlins at loanDepot park on 2026-05-10. Predicted final score: Washington Nationals 3.67, Miami Marlins 4.32. Model win probability: Miami Marlins 59%, Washington Nationals 41%. Projected total runs: 7.99.
Washington Nationals
3.7
Predicted runs
41% to win
Miami Marlins
4.3
Predicted runs
59% to win
Projected total: 8.0 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.