Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Washington Nationals @ Miami Marlins
2026-08-21 · loanDepot park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Washington Nationals at Miami Marlins at loanDepot park on 2026-08-21. Predicted final score: Washington Nationals 5.11, Miami Marlins 4.98. Model win probability: Miami Marlins 49%, Washington Nationals 51%. Projected total runs: 10.09.
Washington Nationals
5.1
Predicted runs
51% to win
Miami Marlins
5.0
Predicted runs
49% to win
Projected total: 10.1 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.