Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Washington Nationals @ Miami Marlins
2026-08-22 · loanDepot park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Washington Nationals at Miami Marlins at loanDepot park on 2026-08-22. Predicted final score: Washington Nationals 4.9, Miami Marlins 5.31. Model win probability: Miami Marlins 54%, Washington Nationals 46%. Projected total runs: 10.21.
Washington Nationals
4.9
Predicted runs
46% to win
Miami Marlins
5.3
Predicted runs
54% to win
Projected total: 10.2 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.
