Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Washington Nationals @ Miami Marlins
2026-08-23 · loanDepot park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Washington Nationals at Miami Marlins at loanDepot park on 2026-08-23. Predicted final score: Washington Nationals 5.31, Miami Marlins 4.68. Model win probability: Miami Marlins 45%, Washington Nationals 55%. Projected total runs: 9.99.
Washington Nationals
5.3
Predicted runs
55% to win
Miami Marlins
4.7
Predicted runs
45% to win
Projected total: 10.0 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.