Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Washington Nationals @ Baltimore Orioles
2026-06-26 · 07:05 PM ET · Oriole Park at Camden Yards
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Washington Nationals at Baltimore Orioles at Oriole Park at Camden Yards on 2026-06-26. Predicted final score: Washington Nationals 3.89, Baltimore Orioles 4.56. Model win probability: Baltimore Orioles 57%, Washington Nationals 43%. Projected total runs: 8.45.
Washington Nationals
3.9
Predicted runs
43% to win
Baltimore Orioles
4.6
Predicted runs
57% to win
Projected total: 8.4 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.
