Mongoose Bets logo - Advanced Sports Analytics and Betting Intelligence platform
Mongoose Bets

Odds updated 5:10 PM ET

Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB + NFL + CFB + WNBA + PGA Analytics

Washington Nationals @ Baltimore Orioles

2026-06-28

Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Washington Nationals at Baltimore Orioles on 2026-06-28. Predicted final score: Washington Nationals 4.27, Baltimore Orioles 4.44. Model win probability: Baltimore Orioles 51%, Washington Nationals 49%. Projected total runs: 8.71.

Washington Nationals
4.3
Predicted runs
49% to win
Baltimore Orioles
4.4
Predicted runs
51% to win
Projected total: 8.7 runs

Tonight's Edges

Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.