Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB + NFL + CFB + WNBA + PGA Analytics
Washington Nationals @ San Diego Padres
2026-09-07 · Petco Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Washington Nationals at San Diego Padres at Petco Park on 2026-09-07. Predicted final score: Washington Nationals 6.03, San Diego Padres 4.16. Model win probability: San Diego Padres 33%, Washington Nationals 67%. Projected total runs: 10.19.
Washington Nationals
6.0
Predicted runs
67% to win
San Diego Padres
4.2
Predicted runs
33% to win
Projected total: 10.2 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.